Event

QWAFAFEW Denver - David Turkington from State Street

Crowded Trades by David Turkington, Senior Managing Director and Head of Portfolio and Risk Research at State Street Global Exchange

Crowded trades are often associated with bubbles. If investors can locate a bubble sufficiently early they can profit from the run up in prices. But in order to profit from a bubble investors must exit the bubble before the selloff erodes all of the profits. The authors propose two measures for managing exposure to bubbles. One measure, called asset centrality, locates crowded trading which often leads to the formation of bubbles. The other is a measure of relative value, which helps to separate inflationary crowding from deflationary crowding. Neither measure by itself is sufficient for identifying the full cycle of a bubble, but the authors show that together these measures have the potential to locate bubbles as they begin to emerge and to identify exit points before they fully deflate.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3182664

Our Speakers Background

David Turkingtons team is responsible for research and advisory spanning asset allocation, risk management and quantitative investment strategy. Mr. Turkington is a frequent presenter at industry conferences and has published research articles in a range of journals. His research has received the 2013 Peter L. Bernstein Award, three Bernstein-Fabozzi/Jacobs-Levy Outstanding Article Awards, and the 2010 Graham and Dodd Scroll Award. Mr. Turkington graduated summa cum laude from Tufts University with a BA in mathematics and quantitative economics, and he holds the CFA designation.